The Validation

We are not publishing a performance figure until it is complete.

The pass mark was set before we had the data. It was written down before any validation result existed, and it has not moved since. The engine is now running a live validation against it across five markets. When that finishes we will publish the result — whether it clears the bar or fails it.

Pre-registered

The criterion was fixed in advance, before validation data existed. Deciding what counts as success after seeing the result is not a test.

Published either way

The result goes up whether it passes or fails, with the evidence attached. A criterion you only report when you clear it is marketing.

Corrections included

When we get something wrong we say so, including work we have already published. That record is part of the product.

What is being measured

Five markets — BTC, ETH, EUR/USD, GBP/USD and XAU/USD. Every signal carries an entry, a stop loss and two take-profit targets, all set before the signal is sent.

A signal resolves when price reaches one of those levels. Nothing is scored by judgement after the fact, and no trade is reclassified once it has resolved.

The criterion is applied per market rather than pooled. A result that depends on one instrument carrying the other four is not a result.

Why there is no number here yet

This page previously showed a backtest. It has been removed. The trades behind it were produced by a historical replay whose decision timing we later found to be unsound, and it described a configuration the engine no longer runs.

We could publish an interim figure from live signals instead. We are not going to, because the current record spans several engine versions and would describe something other than the system under validation.

A number that needs three paragraphs of explanation is not transparency. The honest position is that the validation has not finished.

What happens when it completes

The result is published on this page with the criterion beside it, so it can be read against the bar rather than on its own. Per market, not pooled.

If it clears, access opens. If it does not, that is published too, along with what we intend to do about it.

Trading involves significant risk of loss. Nothing on this page is financial advice, and no past or future figure published here should be read as a prediction of returns. Signals are educational analysis, not instructions.

Read the full risk disclosure